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Open Access
Research article
Predicting Water Availability in the Chalcas River Basin: Application of Artificial Neural Networks for Sustainable Resource Management
hemerson lizarbe-alarcón ,
jhac taboada-valenzuela ,
edward león-palacios ,
josé estrada-cardenas ,
rocky ayala-bizarro ,
main tenorio-palomino ,
rualth bravo-anaya ,
alex ircañaupa
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Available online: 04-16-2026

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This study aimed to develop a predictive model of water availability using artificial neural networks (ANN) in the Chalcas River basin, located in the district of San Pedro de Palco, Ayacucho, Peru. A quantitative, predictive, and non-experimental longitudinal design was applied. Hydrological data were used, including monthly average precipitation (ranging from 3.44 mm in June to 123.49 mm in February), weighted crop coefficients (Kc), monthly evapotranspiration (ETo), and a drainage density of 5.81 km/km$^2$. A multilayer ANN was structured and trained over 2000 epochs, achieving an average accuracy of 90.62% and a normalized mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0528. The model determined the flow rate for the period 2003–2030 period, identifying critical seasonal patterns: a peak of 317.45 l/s in January 2028 and a minimum of 28.55 l/s in July 2026. These findings highlight the need to implement water storage strategies during wet seasons and optimize water use during dry periods. Ultimately, the ANN-based model enhances water resource management, reduces scarcity-related risks, and promotes the sustainability of the irrigation system. This methodology demonstrates broad applicability and can be replicated in other basins facing similar hydrological challenges, using the ANN model.

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The rapid expansion of e-commerce has intensified the complexity of last-mile delivery, where increasing parcel volumes and urban constraints continue to challenge traditional distribution models. Among emerging solutions, parcel lockers have gained attention for their potential to improve delivery efficiency while reducing operational and environmental pressures. However, their effectiveness largely depends on appropriate location planning, which requires the simultaneous consideration of multiple and often conflicting criteria. This study develops a multi-criteria decision framework for parcel locker location selection by integrating the Opinion Weight Criteria Method (OWCM) and the Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS) method. The proposed framework enables the systematic evaluation of alternative locations by combining structured expert judgment with compromise-based ranking. Criteria weights are derived through OWCM to ensure consistency in preference representation, while MARCOS is employed to assess alternatives based on their relative distance from ideal and anti-ideal solutions. The model is applied within a last-mile delivery context to examine its practical applicability. The results identify the most suitable location among a set of feasible alternatives and demonstrate stable performance under varying weighting scenarios. Sensitivity and comparative analyses confirm that the ranking outcomes remain consistent across different conditions and methodological configurations. The findings provide a structured approach to location planning in urban logistics and offer practical support for decision-makers seeking to deploy parcel locker systems under complex operational environments. The proposed framework can be extended to similar decision problems involving infrastructure placement and multi-criteria evaluation.
Open Access
Research article
A Bio-Inspired Multi-Modal State Evaluation and Game-Theoretic Coordination Approach for Active Safety in Intelligent Public Transport Systems
li wang ,
wenting jia ,
liuhua zhang ,
zhengquan li ,
jinchao xiao ,
nanfeng zhang ,
jingfeng yang ,
yingyi wu
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Available online: 04-16-2026

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Ensuring the safety of public transport systems has become increasingly challenging with the growing complexity of traffic environments and vehicle–road–driver interactions. Conventional approaches that rely on single-source information are often insufficient to support comprehensive monitoring and coordinated response. This study proposes a bio-inspired multi-modal state evaluation approach for active safety in intelligent public transport systems. Drawing on principles of biological multi-sensory integration, the proposed method integrates driver physiological signals with heterogeneous road perception data through a multi-sensor fusion framework, enabling real-time assessment of traffic safety states. On this basis, a game-theoretic coordination strategy is developed to support collaborative prevention and response among vehicle, driver, and road-side elements under dynamic traffic conditions. The approach is evaluated across urban roads, expressways, and intersection scenarios. Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves improved accuracy, recall, and real-time performance compared with baseline methods, while maintaining stable performance under noisy and incomplete data conditions. This work provides a system-oriented approach for integrating multi-source sensing and coordinated decision-making in intelligent public transport safety management.
Open Access
Research article
Assessment of Natural Radioactivity Levels in Brick Factories of Al-Muthanna Governorate, Iraq
anwar ahmed fadhl abodood ,
khalid h. h. alattiyah ,
rawaa m. obaid ashoor
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Available online: 04-15-2026

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Natural radioactive nuclides $^{238}$U, $^{232}$Th, and $^{40}$K present in brick manufacturing facilities pose potential environmental, health, and economic concerns. This study employed gamma-ray spectroscopy using a NaI(Tl) detector to accurately determine radionuclide activity concentrations in ten samples collected from brick factories, Iraq. The investigation evaluated several critical health risk parameters, including radium equivalent activity, excess lifetime cancer risk, absorbed dose rate, and gamma representative index. The measured specific activities for $^{238}$U, $^{232}$Th, and $^{40}$K ranged from 32.67 ± 1.22 to 34.87 ± 1.26 Bq/kg, 24.65 ± 0.92 to 38.84 ± 1.16 Bq/kg, and 405.76 ± 4.91 to 419.92 ± 5.01 Bq/kg, respectively. All calculated radiation hazard indices were found to be within the permissible limits established by international regulatory organizations as recommended by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR), and International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP). The findings indicate that natural radioactivity levels in these facilities pose no significant health risks. Specifically, both occupational workers and the surrounding population remain protected under current operational conditions. These results provide important baseline data for radiation safety assessment in the brick manufacturing industry and demonstrate compliance with international safety standards.

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Small object detection in aerial imagery remains challenging due to limited spatial resolution, background clutter, and severe scale variation. Existing deep learning–based detectors often suffer from weakened shallow representations and insufficient cross-scale feature interaction, leading to missed detections and unstable localization in dense scenes. This work presents Dynamic Reconstruction and Fusion Network (DRF-Net), a frequency-guided feature reconstruction framework for small object detection. Built upon a one-stage detection paradigm, the proposed method introduces three key components: a frequency-guided channel–spatial augmentation (FCSA) module to enhance fine-grained representations, a multi-frequency reconstruction block (MFRB) to restore cross-scale structural information, and a Dynamic Reconstruction Fusion Neck (DRF-Neck) to adaptively regulate multi-scale feature aggregation. By jointly modeling high- and low-frequency components and integrating saliency-aware fusion mechanisms, the framework improves the preservation of small-object contours while suppressing redundant background responses. Extensive experiments conducted on the VisDrone2019 benchmark demonstrate that DRF-Net consistently outperforms the baseline detector in terms of detection accuracy, particularly for small and densely distributed objects, while maintaining real-time inference efficiency. Ablation studies further verify the complementary contributions of the proposed modules to feature representation and fusion stability. The results indicate that frequency-guided reconstruction and dynamic fusion provide an effective learning strategy for enhancing small-object detection performance in complex visual scenes.

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Landfill leachate poses a major challenge to urban waste management, particularly in tropical regions with high rainfall and heterogeneous waste composition. This study developed an artificial neural network (ANN) based on a multilayer perceptron (MLP) architecture to predict leachate volume at the Supit Urang landfill in Malang City, Indonesia. The dataset combined primary measurements of leachate discharge with secondary meteorological and environmental data, including rainfall, temperature, humidity, wind, and waste volume. Data preprocessing involved cleaning, imputation, transformation, and normalization to improve data quality and model readiness. The ANN model used two hidden layers with 64 neurons each and was optimized with the Adam algorithm, early stopping, and L2 regularization to balance predictive accuracy and generalization. The model achieved an R$^2$ of 0.61 and correlation coefficients above 0.82, indicating a good ability to capture nonlinear relationships and overall leachate trends. However, the relatively high root mean square error (RMSE) values showed that individual predictions still deviated substantially from observed values. Overall, the findings indicate that ANN models are promising decision-support tools for sustainable landfill management, although further improvements in data quality and model optimization are still required. The study also offers practical insight for estimating leachate generation and planning treatment strategies in urban landfills.

Open Access
Research article
Analyzing the Impact of Climate and Economic Factors on Crop Production: Evidence from the U.S.
zeynab giyasova ,
ilhama mahmudova ,
mustafa kemal oktem ,
khatira maharramova ,
tamilla abbasova
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Available online: 04-14-2026

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This study investigates the joint influence of climatic and economic determinants on agricultural productivity in the United States over the period 1961–2022. The analysis employs the Crop Production Index (CPI) as the dependent variable, alongside average annual temperature (AAT), GDP growth (GDPG), and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) as explanatory variables, to assess the interactions between environmental conditions, economic dynamics, and crop output. Preliminary descriptive statistics affirmed the suitability of the dataset for parametric modeling, while the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test confirmed the stationarity of all series at level (I(0)). Results from Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression indicate that AAT positively and significantly influences CPI, with a one-degree Celsius increase corresponding to a 7.70-unit rise ($p$ $<$ 0.01). In contrast, GDPG and GFCF exhibit negative impacts on CPI, decreasing it by 1.96 units ($p$ $<$ 0.05) and 2.93 units ($p$ $<$ 0.05), respectively. Granger causality tests reveal unidirectional causality from CPI to AAT ($F$ = 7.075, $p$ = 0.001), from AAT to GDPG ($F$ = 3.202, $p$ = 0.048), and from GDPG to GFCF ($F$ = 4.618, $p$ = 0.014), highlighting the temporal interdependencies among agricultural and economic indicators. Structural break analysis identifies four significant regime shifts during 1961–2022, reflecting the compounded effects of climatic fluctuations and economic transformations on agricultural output. These findings emphasize the pivotal role of temperature in shaping crop productivity, while also demonstrating that macroeconomic expansion can inadvertently constrain agricultural performance. The study offers empirical insights for designing integrated climate and economic policies aimed at sustaining agricultural productivity amid evolving environmental and economic conditions.

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The increasing complexity of modern urban traffic networks demands intelligent control strategies that can anticipate and adapt to dynamic traffic conditions. Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a framework that optimizes vehicle control by predicting future states and respecting real-time constraints, such as traffic signals at intersections. However, the computational complexity of MPC increases significantly with the number of decision variables and constraints, which is directly proportional to the length of the prediction horizon, creating a critical trade-off between control performance and computational efficiency. To address this challenge, this paper proposes an adaptive-horizon optimal driving (AHOD) bi-level optimization framework that incorporates a novel time-step discretization for real-time trajectory optimization and integrates it into a full traffic signal cycle. Unlike conventional MPC, which employs uniform time discretization leading to exponential growth in decision variables with horizon length, the proposed AHOD framework assigns finer time steps near signal phase transitions and coarser steps in the distant horizon, maintaining a fixed number of optimization nodes regardless of cycle length. The proposed framework comprises two controllers: the upper and lower controllers. The Upper controller employs finer resolution at critical times of signal change and coarser resolution in distant horizons, thereby reducing computational cost while maintaining prediction accuracy. The lower controller applies a practical MPC scheme to generate realtime control actions that are consistent with the long-term constraints of the upper controller. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves up to 17.6% fuel savings compared to traditional human driving and reduces computation time by approximately 61% compared to long-horizon MPC, while maintaining comparable control performance. The proposed framework enables real-time, cycle-aware predictive control for connected and automated vehicles (CAVs), and establishes a practical basis for embedding long-horizon prediction within an MPC-based trajectory-planning framework.

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Padang City faces serious waste problems, including a 500-ton increase in daily waste generation to 500 tons and an annual accumulation of 236,296 tons (2023). Waste from the Final Processing Site is predicted to exceed its maximum limit by 2026; waste composition mainly comprises organic materials (62.53%) and plastics (13.6%), which have not been sufficiently managed through the Reduce, Reuse, and Recycle (3R) paradigm. This study analyzes the institutional, technical, regulatory, financial, and participatory barriers to waste management in Padang, as well as the policy implications from collaborative governance and circular economy perspectives. Using qualitative-descriptive methodology, with document analysis and policy evaluation, this study offers a unique contribution by combining polycentric governance defined as multi-level coordination and activity among government, private sector, and community actors with responsive regulation that situates punitive enforcement in the context of observed social behaviour and institutional capacity. The results indicate that institution fragmentation, under-enforcement of established laws, unsustainable funding mechanisms, and low community participation undermine the waste management practices in Padang. Integrated Waste Processing Place 3R and waste banks have, so far, not achieved optimal scale in terms of effectiveness. Contextualizing these outcomes through the lenses of polycentric governance, responsive regulation, circular economy, and community-based social marketing shows the role that cross-sectoral collaboration, participatory mechanisms, and adaptive regulatory tools played in building resilient urban waste systems. Theoretically, this study contributes to environmental governance scholarship by integrating governance design and regulatory innovation in the Global South context, while offering practical recommendations for performance contracts among stakeholders, as well as the adoption of Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), decentralized technologies for organic waste, and digital-based incentives at the community level. Therefore, this study not only highlights the need for structural reforms but also contributes to establishing inclusive, adaptive, and sustainable waste management systems in Indonesia’s urban areas.

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Kerosene pollution, stemming from its widespread use as a fuel and solvent, poses significant health and environmental risks. This study aimed to isolate biosurfactant-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae from petroleum-contaminated soil and apply the biosurfactant to enhance kerosene biodegradation. Among twelve isolates screened, seven produced biosurfactants, with K. pneumoniae S9 exhibiting the highest emulsification index (E24 = 45%). The biosurfactant was extracted, purified, and characterized as a lipopeptide via Thin-Layer Chromatography (TLC) and Fourier Transform Infrared (FT-IR) spectroscopy. Supplementation with the biosurfactant significantly accelerated kerosene degradation, achieving 64% efficiency within an 11-day incubation period. These results demonstrate the potential of this biosurfactant as an effective agent for the bioremediation of kerosene-contaminated environments.

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Lakes in mining areas face serious ecological degradation due to complex interactions between human activities, land use change, and industrial pressures. Globally, approximately 46.7% of lakes have lost their ecosystem resilience, with impacts such as declining water quality, sedimentation, heavy metal pollution, and biodiversity loss. While previous studies have mostly focused on post-mining pit lakes, limited attention has been given to conservation in active mining areas, leaving a critical research gap. This study aims to identify the factors influencing lake water resource conservation in mining regions, analyze the interrelationships among these factors, develop a conceptual model, and propose contextual strategies for sustainable conservation. A systematic literature review was conducted following the PRISMA 2020 protocol, using searches on Scopus and Web of Science for English-language publications from 2015 to 2025. Inclusion criteria emphasized empirical studies addressing lake conservation in mining areas. Study quality was assessed using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT) version 2018, and data synthesis employed thematic analysis with NVivo 14 to identify key themes, factor relationships, and model design. From an initial 642 articles, 114 studies met the criteria. The analysis identified 13 key factors, with three dominant determinants: human–environment interaction, eco-friendly technology and innovation, and socio-economic pressures. Factor relationships included direct pathways such as institutional capacity and social capital, mediating roles such as environmental education and leadership, and negative moderation through economic pressures. The resulting conceptual model emphasizes integrating technological interventions, social capacity building, and environmental value internalization. Priority strategies include environmental education, institutional strengthening, community participation, and adoption of mitigation technologies. Overall, lake conservation in mining contexts requires an integrative social–ecological systems approach that balances technical innovation, social interventions, and mitigation of economic drivers.

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