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Journal of Urban Development and Management
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Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM)
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ISSN (print): 2957-9589
ISSN (online): 2957-9597
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2026: Vol. 5
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Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM) is an international, peer-reviewed, open-access journal dedicated to the planning, governance, development, and management of cities and urban regions. The journal examines the relationships among spatial development, infrastructure, public services, environmental sustainability, and institutional decision-making, with particular emphasis on urban policy, project delivery, and management practices. Its scope encompasses urban planning and land use, urban governance, urban infrastructure planning and management, housing and regeneration, intelligent transportation, climate resilience, urban economies, and community development. JUDM also welcomes research on smart cities, artificial intelligence, urban digital twins, and data-driven decision support, provided that such research contributes to urban planning, governance, or management. The journal publishes theoretical, empirical, and computational studies with clear implications for urban development and practice. JUDM is published quarterly by Acadlore, with issues released in March, June, September, and December.

  • Professional Editorial Standards - Manuscripts that pass the initial editorial assessment undergo independent double-blind peer review to evaluate their scholarly quality, methodological rigor, and originality.

  • Efficient Publication - JUDM follows a structured review, revision, and production workflow to support timely editorial decisions and the regular publication of accepted articles.

  • Open Access - All articles published in JUDM are freely accessible online, without subscription or access fees.

Editor(s)-in-chief(2)
aleksandar stevanovic
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, United States
stevanovic@pitt.edu | website
Research interests: Urban Traffic Management; Smart Urban Mobility; Intelligent Transportation Systems; Urban Traffic Control and Optimization; Multimodal and Sustainable Urban Transportation; Transportation Simulation and Digital Twins; Data-Driven Urban Transportation Decision Support
guangdong wu
School of Public Policy and Administration, Chongqing University, China
gd198410@cqu.edu.cn | website
Research interests: Urban Development and Management; Urban Governance; Urban Network Governance; Public Project Governance; Sustainable Urban Development; Urban Resilience; Project Management

Aims & Scope

Aims

The Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM) is an international, peer-reviewed, open-access journal dedicated to the planning, governance, development, and management of cities and urban regions. It publishes research on the spatial, institutional, environmental, economic, and social processes that shape cities and urban regions, with particular attention to the policies, decisions, projects, and management practices that influence urban development outcomes.

Urban development involves the interaction of land use, infrastructure, public services, economic activity, environmental conditions, and institutional decision-making. Population change, urban expansion, economic restructuring, climate risks, and technological advances present challenges for urban planning and management. JUDM provides a forum for examining these challenges and the approaches through which cities and urban regions respond to them.

A distinguishing focus of JUDM is the relationship between urban development and the institutional, policy, and management processes through which urban change is planned, implemented, governed, and evaluated. The journal particularly welcomes research connecting spatial development with urban governance, infrastructure investment, project delivery, resource allocation, public policy, and the management of urban services. Studies may address neighbourhoods, cities, metropolitan areas, and wider city-regions, including peri-urban areas and urban–rural transition zones.

JUDM also examines how digital technologies, artificial intelligence, and data-driven approaches are changing urban planning, governance, infrastructure management, and public service delivery. Particular attention is given to smart city development, urban digital twins, intelligent transportation, and digital tools that support urban decision-making. Research in these areas should consider not only technological applications but also their implications for urban development, institutional capacity, sustainability, resource allocation, and management practices.

The journal covers urban planning, land use, housing, regeneration, transportation, infrastructure management, environmental sustainability, climate resilience, urban economic development, and community development. Contributions from different geographical and institutional contexts are welcome. Comparative research is encouraged, while studies of individual cities, communities, or development projects should explain the wider relevance of their findings and their implications for urban planning, governance, policy, or management.

JUDM publishes original research articles, review articles, and short communications employing qualitative, quantitative, spatial, computational, or mixed-methods approaches. Manuscripts should address a clearly defined urban development or management problem, present a sound and transparent research design, and make an identifiable contribution to knowledge or practice. Studies based primarily on technical methods or descriptive case analyses should demonstrate their significance for urban decision-making, planning, development, or management.

JUDM is published by Acadlore. Manuscripts that pass the initial editorial assessment undergo independent double-blind peer review to evaluate their scholarly quality, methodological rigor, and originality.

Key features of JUDM:

  • The journal focuses on how urban development is planned, implemented, governed, evaluated, and managed, with particular attention to urban policy, institutional arrangements, and management practices.

  • It examines the relationships among land use, infrastructure, housing, mobility, public services, environmental sustainability, economic development, and urban governance.

  • Particular emphasis is placed on urban development projects, infrastructure investment and management, smart cities, intelligent transportation, and the integration of transportation and land-use planning.

  • The journal welcomes research on artificial intelligence, urban digital twins, spatial analytics, and digital governance when these approaches contribute to urban planning, public policy, resource allocation, or management decisions.

  • It covers neighbourhood, city, metropolitan, city-region, peri-urban, and urban–rural transition contexts, welcoming both comparative and place-based studies with wider academic or practical relevance.

  • Contributions are expected to employ sound and transparent research methods, demonstrate clear relevance to urban development or management, and provide evidence-based findings with implications for planning, governance, project delivery, public services, or urban decision-making.

Scope

JUDM welcomes research in the following areas, provided that submissions establish a clear connection to urban development, planning, governance, or management.

Urban Planning, Spatial Development, and Land Use

Research on the spatial organisation, physical development, and planning of cities and urban regions.

  • Urban growth, spatial restructuring, and development patterns

  • Land-use planning, zoning, and development control

  • Urban expansion, densification, compact development, and peri-urbanisation

  • Metropolitan planning and city-region development

  • Urban–rural linkages and regional spatial transformation

  • Spatial inequality, accessibility, and land-use change

  • Planning implementation, evaluation, and institutional coordination

  • Urban design, landscape planning, and public-space management

  • Relationships between spatial planning, infrastructure provision, and public investment

Urban Governance, Policy, and Public Management

Research on the institutions, policies, and administrative processes involved in directing and managing urban development.

  • Urban governance, institutional capacity, and municipal management

  • Urban public administration and development regulation

  • Intergovernmental relations and metropolitan coordination

  • Participatory planning, collaborative governance, and community engagement

  • Urban policy formulation, implementation, and evaluation

  • Municipal finance, budgeting, and public investment

  • Accountability, institutional reform, and administrative performance

  • Digital transformation of urban governance and public services

Urban Development Projects and Infrastructure Management

Research on the planning, financing, delivery, operation, and management of urban development projects and infrastructure systems.

  • Urban development project planning, implementation, and delivery

  • Infrastructure investment, financing, and asset management

  • Public–private partnerships and urban development finance

  • Project governance, stakeholder coordination, and risk management

  • Project cost, schedule, performance, and quality management

  • Sustainable construction and construction management in urban development

  • Urban water, energy, waste, and digital infrastructure management

  • Smart urban infrastructure and AI-assisted asset management

  • Digital project management and infrastructure performance monitoring

  • Coordination between infrastructure provision and land development

  • Life-cycle management, maintenance, and renewal of urban infrastructure

Housing, Neighbourhood Change, and Urban Regeneration

Research on housing systems, neighbourhood transformation, redevelopment, and regeneration.

  • Housing supply, affordability, accessibility, and housing policy

  • Informal settlements and incremental urban development

  • Neighbourhood planning and community development

  • Urban renewal, redevelopment, and regeneration strategies

  • Brownfield redevelopment and adaptive reuse

  • Gentrification, displacement, and residential segregation

  • Ageing neighbourhoods, urban decline, and revitalisation

  • Digital and data-informed approaches to urban regeneration

Urban Mobility, Intelligent Transportation, and Land-Use Integration

Research on the planning, operation, governance, and management of urban transportation systems and their relationships with urban development.

  • Integrated transportation and land-use planning

  • Transit-oriented development and public transport management

  • Urban traffic management, control, and network optimisation

  • Intelligent transportation systems and smart urban mobility

  • AI-assisted urban traffic management and decision support

  • Travel behaviour, transport demand, and accessibility assessment

  • Walking, cycling, shared mobility, and sustainable urban transport

  • Connected and automated mobility in urban environments

  • Mobility inequality, transport disadvantage, and service accessibility

  • Transportation infrastructure investment and urban development

  • Metropolitan transport governance and intermodal coordination

  • Urban mobility data analytics and digital twins for transport management

  • Urban road safety assessment and management

Urban Environment, Climate Resilience, and Sustainability

Research on environmental conditions, ecological systems, climate risks, and sustainability in relation to urban planning and management.

  • Urban ecology, biodiversity, and ecological planning

  • Green and blue infrastructure and urban landscape management

  • Urban water environments, stormwater management, and drainage planning

  • Urban pollution, environmental quality, and environmental justice

  • Urban heat, microclimate, and thermal-environment management

  • Climate change adaptation, greenhouse gas mitigation, and urban resilience

  • Urban disaster risk management and post-disaster recovery

  • Resource efficiency, circular urban systems, and ecosystem services

  • Environmental health and sustainable urban infrastructure

  • Data-driven environmental monitoring and urban sustainability management

Urban Economy, Social Equity, and Community Development

Research on the economic and social dimensions of urban development and the distribution of urban resources and opportunities.

  • Urban economic development and structural transformation

  • City competitiveness, innovation, and entrepreneurship

  • Employment accessibility and the spatial distribution of economic activity

  • Urban land values, investment, and development incentives

  • Tourism, cultural development, and event-led urban regeneration

  • Urban poverty, exclusion, and spatial justice

  • Demographic change, migration, and population ageing

  • Community cohesion, neighbourhood well-being, and inclusive development

  • Local development strategies and place-based economic policies

  • Digital inclusion and social equity in smart city development

Smart Cities, Urban Analytics, and Digital Decision Support

Research on smart city development, urban digital transformation, and analytical methods that support urban planning, governance, and management decisions.

  • Smart city planning, development, and governance

  • Artificial intelligence in urban planning and management

  • Urban digital twins, simulation, and scenario analysis

  • Urban big data analytics and predictive modelling

  • Geographic information systems and remote sensing for urban development

  • Digital platforms and integrated information systems for urban management

  • Multi-criteria decision analysis and resource-allocation optimisation for urban management

  • Smart infrastructure management and urban performance assessment

  • Urban data governance, digital inclusion, and responsible AI

  • Machine learning and spatial analytics for urban planning and management

  • Data-driven urban policy evaluation and decision-support systems

Scope Boundaries

JUDM considers research in transportation, environmental science, construction, architecture, regional development, artificial intelligence, and computational methods when such research makes a substantive contribution to urban planning, development, governance, infrastructure management, or public policy. Studies concerned exclusively with technical performance, individual building design, engineering materials, transportation equipment, energy technologies, or general-purpose algorithms are normally outside the journal's scope unless their relevance to urban development or management is clearly demonstrated.

Research involving smart cities, intelligent transportation, digital twins, artificial intelligence, or other emerging technologies should address identifiable urban problems and explain how the findings inform planning, governance, infrastructure investment, public service delivery, resource allocation, or management decisions. Technological novelty alone does not establish suitability for JUDM.

Submissions should extend beyond descriptive accounts of local conditions or routine applications of established methods. Authors are expected to explain the wider significance of their findings and their contribution to urban development research, planning practice, policy, project delivery, or management.

Articles
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Rapid urbanization and the expansion of artificial intelligence, digital platforms, connected infrastructure, and automated public services are reshaping how urban governments plan, coordinate, and deliver public services. In Indonesia, selecting an appropriate digital governance strategy remains challenging because expected service improvements must be considered alongside digital inclusion, public trust, algorithmic fairness, institutional capacity, environmental resilience, privacy risks, and implementation costs. This study investigates how alternative digital urban governance strategies can be evaluated within a transparent multi-criteria decision-support framework. Ten candidate strategies were evaluated against fifteen technical, social, institutional, environmental, and economic criteria using constructed role-based picture fuzzy assessments. Mutual information (MI) was applied to identify overlapping criteria and reduce redundancy, after which the Logarithmic Percentage Change-driven Objective Weighting (LOPCOW) method was used to derive objective criterion weights. Ranking Comparison (RANCOM) weights were then generated from the LOPCOW-based criterion ordering and combined with the objective weights before the alternatives were ranked using the Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS) method. Ranking robustness was examined through parameter sensitivity analysis, 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulations, and comparisons with seven established multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods, including the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), VIseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR), Multi-Objective Optimization on the Basis of Ratio Analysis (MOORA), Multi-Attributive Border Approximation Area Comparison (MABAC), Weighted Aggregated Sum Product Assessment (WASPAS), Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS), and Additive Ratio Assessment (ARAS). The results showed that mobile-first public services for remote and island communities ranked first, with a MARCOS appraisal score of 0.734412, followed closely by citizen participation and e-consultation at 0.723203. Privacy-preserving urban data exchange ranked third at 0.686119. The leading strategy remained stable across the tested parameter settings within the proposed MARCOS framework, although alternative weighting and ranking specifications produced greater variation in the identity of the first-ranked strategy. This result, together with the narrow gap between the two highest-ranked alternatives, indicates that local priorities, assessment inputs, and modelling choices can materially influence the final decision. The findings demonstrate that the proposed framework provides a traceable basis for comparing competing digital urban governance strategies while making the assumptions, trade-offs, and uncertainty underlying the ranking explicit. The approach offers urban authorities a structured decision-support tool for planning inclusive, accountable, resilient, and institutionally feasible public-service transformation.
Open Access
Research article
Morphology-Aware Identification of Shared Bicycle Parking Hotspots for Urban Public-Space Management: Evidence From Guangzhou
dexin wu ,
liang zhang ,
yi dou ,
minxian yuan ,
yuejiang su ,
xiaoyu li ,
lei pan ,
liuhua zhang ,
nanfeng zhang
|
Available online: 09-28-2026

Abstract

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The rapid expansion of dockless shared bicycle systems creates persistent challenges for parking management and the efficient use of urban public space, particularly around transport hubs and major commuting corridors. Conventional hotspot-identification methods mainly indicate where parking demand is concentrated but provide limited information on the spatial form and potential public-space impact of bicycle accumulation. This study develops a morphology-aware framework using shared bicycle order and trajectory data from Guangzhou. After removing operational repositioning events, dense parking cores were extracted through grid-based connected components. Principal component analysis and robust spread measures were then used to quantify cluster orientation, length–width ratio, and bandwidth. Road proximity and orientation consistency were incorporated to distinguish roadside-band (RB), intersection-corner (IC), designated-parking-area-like (DPA), and scattered points (SP) morphologies. Short-duration demand surges during morning and evening peaks were identified separately and combined with high demand and band-shaped morphology to screen priority governance locations. Analysis of 6.902 million orders identified 27,687 dense parking cores, with the top 1% accounting for 43.7% of within-cluster orders. Band-shaped clusters represented 13.4% of all cores but accounted for 32.1% of orders. Among 26,142 strictly classified cores, RB clusters accounted for 3.23%, and only 21.8% were aligned within 30° of adjacent roads, indicating that oblique and multi-row occupation was more common than simple linear roadside parking. Among 1,842 high-demand cores, 320 showed morning-peak surges and 80 evening-peak surges. High-demand locations within 200 m of metro entrances recorded 1.7 times the mean order volume of those outside the metro buffer. The combined surge–demand–morphology criterion identified 240 priority governance points, 64.6% near arterial or sub-arterial roads and 50.0% near designated parking facilities. The findings show that parking pressure is shaped by both demand intensity and accumulation morphology, providing a practical basis for differentiated parking management, pre-peak dispatch, and improved use of urban public space.

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Urban development and management (UDM) plays a central role in addressing the environmental, social, and governance challenges associated with rapid urbanization. Although bibliometric studies have examined specific areas of urban research, the broader intellectual structure and long-term thematic development of UDM remain fragmented across multiple research streams. This study investigates the evolution, knowledge structure, and emerging research directions of UDM through a large-scale bibliometric and science-mapping analysis. A dataset of 40,435 journal articles and reviews published between 1925 and 2025 was retrieved from Scopus and analyzed following the Scientific Procedures and Rationales for Systematic Literature Reviews (SPAR-4-SLR) protocol. Performance analysis, co-citation analysis, bibliographic coupling, keyword co-occurrence analysis, and thematic mapping were conducted using bibliometrix and VOSviewer. The results showed a marked acceleration in research output, with 45.9% of all documents published during 2021–2025. The dataset accumulated 1,285,702 citations, averaging 31.8 citations per document. China recorded the largest publication output (9,309 documents), whereas the United States received the highest total citations (348,371) and h-index (223). Journal co-citation patterns revealed a multidisciplinary knowledge base centered on environmental and water sciences, while country-level bibliographic coupling showed a core–periphery structure organized around China, the United States, and Europe. Sustainable development and urban planning emerged as broad foundational themes, whereas water management occupied a central and well-developed position. The science-mapping results further identified climate adaptation, blue–green infrastructure, nature-based solutions, and digitally enabled urban management as prominent recent research directions. These findings demonstrate how UDM has developed from a predominantly planning- and growth-oriented field into a multidisciplinary research domain increasingly concerned with environmental limits, climate resilience, and data-supported urban governance. The study provides an integrated knowledge map of UDM and identifies research priorities concerning the Global South, sustainability measurement, blue–green infrastructure, climate–health interactions, digital urban management, circular urban systems, and urban governance.

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Urban and regional transport authorities need reliable methods to identify road sections where traffic exposure and crash outcomes indicate comparatively unfavorable safety performance, particularly when planning and infrastructure-management resources are limited. This study investigates how inverse data envelopment analysis (DEA) can support the comparative assessment and prioritization of two-lane road sections for road safety-oriented transport planning and infrastructure management. Twelve main road sections within the jurisdiction of the East Sarajevo Police Administration were analyzed using data from 2019–2023. Annual average daily traffic (AADT) was used to represent traffic exposure, while the average annual numbers of fatal, serious-injury, and slight-injury crashes were used as adverse safety outcomes. A Charnes–Cooper–Rhodes (CCR) model-based inverse DEA framework was applied to determine the relative position of each road section against an empirically defined efficiency frontier. A constrained radial scenario was then used to estimate reference values for the three crash-severity indicators while keeping AADT unchanged. The results showed that two road sections formed the relative efficiency frontier, while substantial differences were observed among the remaining sections. The two least favorable sections deviated from the reference level by more than 91%, whereas another section was only 2.40% below the frontier. These findings indicate that the proposed framework can distinguish between road sections requiring different levels of planning attention rather than relying on a simple efficient–inefficient classification. The approach provides a transparent decision-support tool for urban and regional transport planning, helping authorities screen road sections, direct detailed road-safety assessments, and support the sequencing of maintenance, reconstruction, and infrastructure-improvement activities.

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Digital public service delivery is an increasingly important component of local governance, yet substantial disparities persist in the capacity of provincial governments to provide effective mobile government services. Understanding how institutional environments interact with internal organizational resources is therefore essential for explaining uneven digital service performance across jurisdictions. This study investigates the configurational mechanisms through which institutional pressure and organizational support shape mobile government service capacity across Chinese provinces. An analytical framework combining coercive, mimetic, and normative pressures with technical, financial, and leadership support was developed, and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) was conducted using data from 31 provincial governments. The results showed that no single antecedent condition was necessary for high mobile government service capacity. Five configurations leading to high capacity were identified and grouped into three pathways: a coercive-pressure-led pathway, a mimetic/normative-pressure-driven pathway, and a three-pressure-linkage pathway. The overall solution consistency and coverage reached 0.885 and 0.631, respectively. Technical support was present across all five high-capacity configurations, while the joint absence of technical support and mimetic pressure characterized the core conditions associated with low capacity. Cross-pathway comparisons further revealed potential substitution between leadership support and combinations of normative pressure and financial support under different institutional conditions. The findings demonstrate that strong mobile government service capacity emerges from multiple combinations of external institutional pressures and internal organizational support rather than from any single governance condition. The study extends configurational explanations of digital governance and provides practical insights for provincial and local authorities seeking to align institutional demands, organizational resources, and digital public service provision.

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Road-safety management in data-constrained settings is complicated by the uneven temporal and geographic availability of official records. This study conducts a two-scale Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis of road traffic safety in Libya by combining a detailed nationally disaggregated historical baseline with recent national statistics and a longitudinal comparison of Tripoli. Official annual reports for 2016 and 2017 were used to examine national change, spatial divergence among reporting jurisdictions, spatial concentration, and broad geographic patterns of crash frequency and severity. More recent Ministry of Interior statistics provide a national benchmark for 2024 and the first half of 2025, while complete 2025 statistics released by the Tripoli Security Directorate permit a descriptive comparison of the capital across widely separated years. Nationally, recorded crashes fell by 7.0% and recorded deaths by 14.7% between 2016 and 2017, although several jurisdictions moved in the opposite direction. The concentration of recorded crashes and deaths across jurisdictions increased, and the pooled severe-crash share displayed significant positive spatial autocorrelation. The recent national benchmark reported 9,916 recorded crashes and 2,441 deaths in 2024; the first two quarters of 2025 together account for 4,952 crashes and 1,279 deaths. In Tripoli, total recorded crashes increased from 657 in 2016 and 631 in 2017 to 1,628 in 2025, whereas fatal crashes and deaths remained close to their historical levels. Consequently, the fatal-crash share fell from 37.3% and 34.5% to 13.8%. The decline in fatal-crash share may partly reflect changes in reporting practices, traffic exposure, classification or jurisdictional boundaries. The findings support a tiered approach to road-safety assessment in which national spatial screening is combined with current urban monitoring and more consistent geocoded crash-data systems.

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Abnormal industrial wastewater discharge into urban sewer networks can disrupt the operation of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) and increase pollution risks to receiving water bodies. However, large-scale deployment of total phosphorus (TP) chemical monitoring at numerous sewer nodes is costly and difficult to maintain for high-frequency data acquisition, limiting rapid anomaly identification and source tracing. This study develops a hierarchical online monitoring and spatiotemporal tracing framework using the service area of the Xiani WWTP in Dongguan, China, as a case study. The study area was divided into six monitoring zones and 169 drainage blocks, with 57 online monitoring stations deployed at trunk and branch/secondary pipelines. Class-A stations directly monitored TP, while Class-B stations continuously monitored electrical conductivity (EC), pH, and liquid level. A “plant–network–zone–block–source” association framework was established by integrating pipe network topology, flow direction, and estimated travel time. Random forest-based contribution analysis, Fréchet distance trajectory matching, and Bayesian-Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference were combined to progressively rank candidate nodes, drainage blocks, and discharge sources. Results showed a moderate positive correlation between TP and EC (Spearman’s $\rho$ = 0.50, $p$ $<$ 0.05, $n$ = 116), indicating that EC can serve as an auxiliary indicator for screening phosphorus-containing industrial wastewater inputs but cannot replace direct TP measurement. In two verified abnormal discharge events, EC changes at Station 19B and Station 17B preceded TP anomalies at the WWTP influent by approximately 4 h and 6 h, respectively, consistent with estimated flow travel times. Field investigations further identified abnormal industrial wastewater discharge clues in the corresponding areas. Following targeted inspections, enterprise rectification, and enforcement actions, TP concentration at the A-Dapu Station decreased by 50%. The study demonstrates that the proposed hierarchical monitoring and multi-model tracing framework can progressively narrow anomaly investigation from the WWTP service area to candidate pipelines, drainage blocks, and discharge sources, supporting abnormal discharge screening and digital drainage management in industrially dense urban areas.

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Natural disasters frequently disrupt transport infrastructure and restrict access to affected communities, making the timely delivery of humanitarian aid a major challenge for disaster management. Selecting a suitable multimodal transport solution requires decision-makers to balance delivery time, cost, infrastructure availability, reliability, safety, flexibility, and capacity. This study investigates the selection of a resilient multimodal transport solution for humanitarian aid delivery under disaster-induced infrastructure disruptions in Bosnia and Herzegovina. An integrated Full Consistency Method (FUCOM) and Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS) model was applied to a case involving the delivery of humanitarian aid from the Armed Forces logistics base at Rajlovac Barracks to Donja Jablanica following the floods and landslides of October 2024. The FUCOM was used to determine the weights of seven evaluation criteria, and the MARCOS method was employed to rank five transport alternatives. Delivery time received the highest weight (0.236), followed by transport system reliability and resilience (0.184) and safety (0.154). The results showed that the integrated road–rail–air alternative achieved the highest utility value (0.7309), narrowly exceeding direct air transport (0.7151). A sensitivity analysis covering 70 weight-variation scenarios showed that the leading alternatives retained stable positions across nearly all scenarios. The findings indicate that integrated multimodal transport can provide a resilient response when individual transport links are disrupted or unavailable. The proposed model offers a transparent decision-support framework for transport planning, infrastructure contingency assessment, and humanitarian logistics management during natural disasters.

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