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Journal of Urban Development and Management
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Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM)
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ISSN (print): 2957-9589
ISSN (online): 2957-9597
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2026: Vol. 5
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Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM) is a peer-reviewed, open-access journal publishing research on the planning, governance, development, and management of cities and urban regions. The journal focuses on the relationships among spatial development, infrastructure, public services, environmental conditions, and institutional decision-making. Its scope covers urban planning and land use, infrastructure management, housing and regeneration, transportation and accessibility, urban environment and resilience, urban governance, economic and social development, and urban modelling and decision support. JUDM welcomes theoretical, empirical, and computational studies that offer clear implications for urban policy, planning practice, project delivery, resource allocation, or management. JUDM is published quarterly by Acadlore, with issues released in March, June, September, and December.

  • Professional Editorial Standards - Manuscripts that pass initial editorial assessment undergo independent double-blind peer review before an editorial decision is made.

  • Efficient Publication - The journal follows a defined review, revision, and production workflow to support the timely processing and regular publication of accepted manuscripts.

  • Open Access - All articles published in JUDM are freely available online without subscription or access fees.

Editor(s)-in-chief(1)
guangdong wu
School of Public Policy and Administration, Chongqing University, China
gd198410@cqu.edu.cn | website
Research interests: Project Management; Public Management; Sustainable Construction; Construction Supply Chain

Aims & Scope

Aims

Journal of Urban Development and Management (JUDM) is an international, peer-reviewed, open-access journal devoted to the planning, governance, development, and management of cities and urban regions. The journal publishes research on how spatial development, infrastructure systems, public services, environmental conditions, institutional arrangements, and social and economic change shape urban performance, development outcomes, and quality of life.

Cities are shaped by the interaction of land development, infrastructure provision, public services, environmental conditions, economic activity, and institutional decision-making. Rapid urbanisation, demographic change, climate risk, technological development, and unequal access to urban resources have made the coordination of these elements increasingly important. JUDM therefore provides a forum for research that explains how urban change is planned, implemented, governed, evaluated, and managed across neighbourhood, city, metropolitan, and city-region scales.

JUDM places particular emphasis on the relationship between urban change and the planning, governance, project delivery, resource allocation, and management processes through which such change is directed. The journal welcomes studies of land use, housing, transportation, infrastructure, regeneration, urban ecology, public services, resilience, and local economic development when they identify clear implications for urban policy, planning practice, development strategy, project implementation, or management.

JUDM addresses both the processes through which urban areas change and the institutional and managerial responses to that change. Particular attention is given to the relationships among physical urban systems, public institutions, communities, development actors, and the decisions through which urban resources are allocated and managed. Research on peri-urban development, urban–rural transition, and regional transformation is also considered when it demonstrates a direct connection to urban development, city-region planning, or the management of urbanisation.

Recognising that urban conditions differ across countries, regions, and stages of development, the journal welcomes comparative research and place-based studies from both developed and emerging economies. Relevant contexts include rapidly urbanising regions, shrinking cities, peri-urban territories, metropolitan areas, and places undergoing industrial, demographic, spatial, or environmental transition. Studies based on a single city, community, or development project should explain the wider relevance of the case and clarify what can be learned beyond the immediate study area.

Contributions may be theoretical, empirical, spatial, computational, or integrative. JUDM welcomes original research articles, review articles, and short communications employing qualitative, quantitative, or mixed methods. Regardless of approach, manuscripts should define the urban problem clearly, justify the research design, present evidence transparently, and explain the implications of the findings for urban planning, governance, project delivery, public policy, resource allocation, service provision, or management.

Submissions should extend beyond descriptive accounts of local conditions, routine applications of established techniques, or technical analyses detached from urban decision-making. The use of a particular model, algorithm, or analytical method does not by itself establish relevance to the journal. Manuscripts should make an identifiable contribution to the understanding or management of urban development and should interpret their findings in relation to the spatial, institutional, environmental, economic, or social context of the research.

JUDM is published by Acadlore. Manuscripts that pass initial editorial assessment undergo double-blind peer review to evaluate their scholarly soundness, methodological quality, relevance to the journal, and clarity of presentation.

Key features of JUDM include:

  • The journal examines how urban change is planned, implemented, governed, evaluated, and managed.

  • It addresses the interaction of land use, infrastructure, housing, mobility, public services, environmental systems, economic development, and institutional decision-making.

  • It covers neighbourhood, city, metropolitan, city-region, peri-urban, and urban–rural transition contexts.

  • Contributions should identify clear implications for urban policy, planning practice, project delivery, resource allocation, service provision, or management.

  • Both comparative and place-based studies are considered, provided that their wider analytical or practical relevance is clearly explained.

  • Particular attention is given to transparent methods, appropriate use of evidence, explicit treatment of spatial and institutional context, and conclusions supported by the results.

Scope

JUDM welcomes original research articles, review articles, and short communications in areas including, but not limited to, the following:

Urban Planning, Spatial Development, and Land Use

Research examining the spatial organisation, physical growth, and planned development of cities and urban regions.

  • Urban growth, spatial restructuring, and development patterns

  • Land-use planning, zoning, and development control

  • Urban expansion, densification, compact development, and peri-urbanisation

  • Mixed land use, functional distribution, and spatial accessibility

  • Metropolitan planning and city-region development

  • Urban–rural linkages and regional spatial transformation

  • Spatial inequality and uneven urban development

  • Planning implementation, evaluation, and institutional coordination

  • Land-use conversion, urban sprawl, and development pressure

  • Relationships between spatial planning and public investment

Urban Governance, Policy, and Public Management

Studies addressing the institutions, policies, administrative arrangements, and decision processes through which urban development is directed and managed.

  • Urban governance and institutional capacity

  • Municipal management and urban public administration

  • Planning law, development regulation, and regulatory implementation

  • Intergovernmental relations and metropolitan coordination

  • Participatory planning and collaborative governance

  • Community engagement and co-production of urban services

  • Evidence-informed urban policy and decision-making

  • Urban finance, municipal budgeting, and public investment

  • Monitoring and evaluation of urban policies and programmes

  • Accountability, administrative performance, and institutional reform

Urban Development Projects and Infrastructure Management

Research on the planning, financing, delivery, operation, and management of urban development projects and infrastructure systems.

  • Urban development project planning and delivery

  • Infrastructure investment and asset management

  • Public–private partnerships and development finance

  • Project governance and stakeholder coordination

  • Project risk, cost, schedule, and performance management

  • Sustainable construction in urban development

  • Water supply, drainage, wastewater, sanitation, and waste infrastructure

  • Urban energy infrastructure, digital infrastructure, and infrastructure supporting public services

  • Infrastructure accessibility, reliability, and service equity

  • Coordination between infrastructure provision and land development

  • Life-cycle management and maintenance of urban assets

  • Management of large-scale urban redevelopment and infrastructure programmes

Housing, Neighbourhood Change, and Urban Regeneration

Studies examining housing systems, neighbourhood transformation, redevelopment, and the consequences of urban regeneration.

  • Housing supply, affordability, tenure, and accessibility

  • Housing policy and housing-market regulation

  • Informal settlements and incremental urban development

  • Neighbourhood planning and community development

  • Urban renewal, redevelopment, and regeneration

  • Brownfield and abandoned-site redevelopment

  • Gentrification, displacement, and residential segregation

  • Ageing neighbourhoods and declining urban areas

  • Heritage conservation, adaptive reuse, and heritage-led regeneration

  • Rural housing transformation within urban–rural integration

  • Social and economic effects of redevelopment programmes

Transportation, Accessibility, and Land-Use Interaction

Research examining the relationships among mobility, accessibility, urban form, infrastructure investment, and land development.

  • Transportation and land-use integration

  • Transit-oriented development

  • Public transport planning and management

  • Walking, cycling, and active mobility

  • Travel behaviour and accessibility assessment

  • Mobility inequality and transport disadvantage

  • Parking, street-space allocation, and transport demand management

  • Shared and emerging mobility services in urban contexts

  • Impacts of transportation investment on urban form and land value

  • Coordination of transport infrastructure and urban development

  • Station-area development and transport-related regeneration

  • Regional mobility and metropolitan transport governance

Urban Environment, Climate Resilience, and Public Health

Studies of environmental conditions, ecological systems, climate risks, and public health where they are directly connected to urban planning, development, or management.

  • Urban ecology and biodiversity

  • Green and blue infrastructure

  • Urban forests, parks, and ecological networks

  • Urban water environments and watershed management

  • Pollution exposure and environmental quality in cities

  • Urban heat, microclimate, and thermal environments

  • Resource efficiency and circular urban systems

  • Ecosystem services in urban planning

  • Environmental justice and unequal exposure to environmental risks

  • Climate adaptation and urban resilience planning

  • Flood, heat, drought, storm, and coastal risk management

  • Disaster preparedness, emergency planning, and post-disaster recovery

  • Urban sanitation, environmental health, and healthy-city planning

  • Infrastructure vulnerability and continuity of urban services

Urban Economy, Social Equity, and Community Development

Research addressing the economic and social dimensions of urban development and the distribution of urban resources and opportunities.

  • Urban economic development and structural transformation

  • City competitiveness, innovation, and entrepreneurship

  • Employment accessibility and the spatial distribution of economic activity

  • Industrial relocation and urban economic restructuring

  • Development zones, business districts, and innovation districts

  • Land value, development incentives, and urban investment

  • Culture, tourism, and event-led urban development

  • Urban poverty, exclusion, and spatial justice

  • Access to housing, transportation, education, health care, and public space

  • Demographic change, migration, and population ageing

  • Community cohesion, neighbourhood well-being, and social capital

  • Inclusive urban development and support for vulnerable populations

  • Local development strategies and place-based economic policy

Urban Design, Public Space, and the Built Environment

Research examining how urban form and the design and management of the built environment affect urban function, accessibility, identity, and everyday use.

  • Urban form, density, and spatial configuration

  • Public-space design, use, and management

  • Streetscape quality and pedestrian environments

  • Inclusive and age-responsive urban design

  • Landscape planning and landscape architecture in cities

  • Built-environment quality and urban liveability

  • Urban design regulation and design governance

  • Relationships between physical design, social activity, and place identity

  • Cultural memory and heritage in urban development

  • Design strategies supporting urban regeneration and climate adaptation

Architectural and design studies should establish clear implications at the neighbourhood, city, or urban-management level. Studies concerned solely with the design of an individual building, without a wider urban development question, are outside the journal’s primary scope.

Urban Data, Modelling, and Decision Support

Methodological studies that make a substantive contribution to the analysis, planning, or management of urban development.

  • Geographic information systems and spatial analysis

  • Remote sensing of urban growth and land-use change

  • Urban simulation, scenario analysis, and forecasting

  • Spatial statistics and urban network analysis

  • Urban indicators, benchmarking, and performance assessment

  • Digital twins and urban data platforms

  • Participatory mapping and volunteered geographic information

  • Multi-criteria analysis and decision-support methods for urban policy

  • Optimisation and resource-allocation models in urban management

  • Data-informed evaluation of urban interventions

  • Machine learning and predictive modelling for urban applications

  • Uncertainty, sensitivity, and robustness analysis in urban models

Methods such as machine learning, optimisation, simulation, remote sensing, geographic information systems, and multi-criteria analysis fall within the journal’s scope when they are used to investigate a clearly defined urban development or management problem. The use of a computational method or technical model alone does not establish suitability for JUDM.

Studies centred exclusively on architectural design, structural or construction engineering, environmental processes, transportation technology, energy equipment, computer algorithms, or general public administration are normally outside the journal’s scope unless they demonstrate a direct and substantive contribution to urban planning, spatial development, infrastructure management, project delivery, urban governance, or public policy.

Articles
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Abnormal industrial wastewater discharge into urban sewer networks can disrupt the operation of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) and increase pollution risks to receiving water bodies. However, large-scale deployment of total phosphorus (TP) chemical monitoring at numerous sewer nodes is costly and difficult to maintain for high-frequency data acquisition, limiting rapid anomaly identification and source tracing. This study develops a hierarchical online monitoring and spatiotemporal tracing framework using the service area of the Xiani WWTP in Dongguan, China, as a case study. The study area was divided into six monitoring zones and 169 drainage blocks, with 57 online monitoring stations deployed at trunk and branch/secondary pipelines. Class-A stations directly monitored TP, while Class-B stations continuously monitored electrical conductivity (EC), pH, and liquid level. A “plant–network–zone–block–source” association framework was established by integrating pipe network topology, flow direction, and estimated travel time. Random forest-based contribution analysis, Fréchet distance trajectory matching, and Bayesian-Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference were combined to progressively rank candidate nodes, drainage blocks, and discharge sources. Results showed a moderate positive correlation between TP and EC (Spearman’s $\rho$ = 0.50, $p$ $<$ 0.05, $n$ = 116), indicating that EC can serve as an auxiliary indicator for screening phosphorus-containing industrial wastewater inputs but cannot replace direct TP measurement. In two verified abnormal discharge events, EC changes at Station 19B and Station 17B preceded TP anomalies at the WWTP influent by approximately 4 h and 6 h, respectively, consistent with estimated flow travel times. Field investigations further identified abnormal industrial wastewater discharge clues in the corresponding areas. Following targeted inspections, enterprise rectification, and enforcement actions, TP concentration at the A-Dapu Station decreased by 50%. The study demonstrates that the proposed hierarchical monitoring and multi-model tracing framework can progressively narrow anomaly investigation from the WWTP service area to candidate pipelines, drainage blocks, and discharge sources, supporting abnormal discharge screening and digital drainage management in industrially dense urban areas.

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Natural disasters frequently disrupt transport infrastructure and restrict access to affected communities, making the timely delivery of humanitarian aid a major challenge for disaster management. Selecting a suitable multimodal transport solution requires decision-makers to balance delivery time, cost, infrastructure availability, reliability, safety, flexibility, and capacity. This study investigates the selection of a resilient multimodal transport solution for humanitarian aid delivery under disaster-induced infrastructure disruptions in Bosnia and Herzegovina. An integrated Full Consistency Method (FUCOM) and Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS) model was applied to a case involving the delivery of humanitarian aid from the Armed Forces logistics base at Rajlovac Barracks to Donja Jablanica following the floods and landslides of October 2024. The FUCOM was used to determine the weights of seven evaluation criteria, and the MARCOS method was employed to rank five transport alternatives. Delivery time received the highest weight (0.236), followed by transport system reliability and resilience (0.184) and safety (0.154). The results showed that the integrated road–rail–air alternative achieved the highest utility value (0.7309), narrowly exceeding direct air transport (0.7151). A sensitivity analysis covering 70 weight-variation scenarios showed that the leading alternatives retained stable positions across nearly all scenarios. The findings indicate that integrated multimodal transport can provide a resilient response when individual transport links are disrupted or unavailable. The proposed model offers a transparent decision-support framework for transport planning, infrastructure contingency assessment, and humanitarian logistics management during natural disasters.

Open Access
Research article
Geographic Information System-Based Assessment of Green Space Accessibility and Urban Livability in Oguta Local Government Area, Nigeria
temple probyne abali ,
simeon chukwuemeka okam ,
humphery onuoha ,
monday barine ainaoba
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Available online: 06-11-2026

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Green space accessibility is an important component of sustainable urban development because of its environmental, health, social, and economic benefits. However, inadequate and uneven access to green spaces remains a challenge in many developing regions, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. This study assessed green space accessibility in Oguta Local Government Area (LGA), Nigeria, and examined its relationship with residents’ socio-economic wellbeing and green space utilization. Geographic information systems (GIS), remote sensing, and household survey methods were employed. Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2 imagery were used for land use/land cover (LULC) classification and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) analysis, respectively, while buffer and network analyses were conducted to assess green space accessibility. A total of 400 questionnaires were administered, of which 390 were retrieved and 385 were valid for analysis. The results showed that agricultural land (31.8%), forest (26.5%), and wetlands (17.9%) constituted major land-cover classes in the study area. NDVI values ranged from −0.18 to 0.82, indicating substantial spatial variation in vegetation density. Accessibility analysis showed that 58.7% of respondents were located within the adopted 300 m accessibility threshold, whereas 41.3% were located beyond this distance. Green space accessibility was positively and significantly correlated with respondents’ socio-economic wellbeing (r = 0.641, p < 0.001). Regression analysis also indicated a significant association between green space accessibility and utilization frequency (p < 0.001). The findings highlight the importance of improving the spatial accessibility, management, and supporting infrastructure of green spaces to enhance residents’ wellbeing and support sustainable urban development in Oguta and environs.

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Bulk cargo—dry commodities such as grain, coal, ores, and construction materials, plus liquid bulk such as petroleum products, liquefied gases, and chemicals—is central to urban material supply, yet remains comparatively under-digitalized relative to containerized logistics and is a persistent source of congestion, dust, noise, and emissions at the port–city interface. Dry and liquid bulk involve substantially different handling technologies, risks, and regulatory regimes and are therefore treated as distinct sub-segments rather than as a single homogeneous category. Based on an integrative review of peer-reviewed studies, industry analyses, and policy reports published or first made available online between January 2015 and April 2026, bulk-specific evidence is distinguished from findings derived from broader port and container logistics. Five interacting technology clusters are identified: Internet of Things (IoT) sensing and connectivity; Artificial Intelligence (AI) and predictive analytics; digital twins and simulation; blockchain-enabled documentation; and automation and autonomous systems. The functions and sustainability implications of these clusters are mapped across the economic, environmental, and social dimensions of port–city development. A four-layer conceptual framework—physical assets, data infrastructure, intelligence services, and governance—is proposed, together with testable propositions linking these layers to urban outcomes. Land-use conflict, freight-corridor planning, environmental zoning, and equity in the distribution of port-related environmental burdens are integrated directly into the framework. The trade-offs associated with digitalization—including energy use, cybersecurity exposure, labor transition, technological dependence and interoperability failures, digital exclusion of smaller operators, and rebound effects—are critically assessed. A stakeholder-differentiated roadmap and research agenda are also proposed to support future bulk-specific empirical validation.

Open Access
Research article
Spatio-Temporal Dynamics and Factors Associated with the Coupling Coordination Between the Digital Economy and Eco-Efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
dalai ma ,
kaihua li ,
jianwei tan ,
helu yang ,
jin sun ,
pengli deng ,
ruonan chang ,
yin yan ,
chao hu
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Available online: 04-16-2026

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Advancing the digital economy and improving eco-efficiency in a coordinated manner are important for high-quality and sustainable regional development. However, the spatio-temporal patterns of their coupling relationship and the factors associated with coordinated development remain insufficiently understood, particularly within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB). To address this gap, the levels of digital economy development and eco-efficiency in 108 YREB cities were evaluated for the period 2011–2022 by integrating the entropy weight method (EWM) and the super epsilon-based measure (Super-EBM) model. The coupling coordination degree (CCD) model was subsequently employed to quantify the degree of coordinated development between the two systems, while the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning algorithm was applied to identify and interpret the major factors associated with the CCD. The results indicate that the digital economy development level exhibited an overall upward, albeit fluctuating, trajectory and was characterized by a distinct spatial gradient of “downstream > midstream > upstream.” In contrast, eco-efficiency remained relatively stable with moderate fluctuations and displayed the opposite spatial distribution. The CCD between the digital economy and eco-efficiency increased steadily throughout the study period. Pronounced spatial heterogeneity was observed, with consistently higher CCD values in downstream cities than in midstream and upstream areas. Improvements in the upstream and midstream regions occurred at a comparatively slower pace, which may be related to disparities in development conditions and resource endowments. Feature importance analysis based on the XGBoost model further showed that openness to the outside world, technological innovation, and urbanization generally made positive contributions to the predicted CCD, whereas government intervention and industrial structure generally made negative contributions. These findings offer new insights into the coordinated evolution of digitalization and ecological sustainability and suggest that better-targeted policy support, strengthened interregional collaboration, enhanced digital infrastructure, innovation-driven development, and deeper integration of digital technologies with green transformation should be promoted to achieve balanced and sustainable development across the YREB.

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Changes in the functional use of urban land have become an important challenge affecting urban structure and sustainable development. An-Najaf City, Iraq, has experienced substantial functional transformation over the past two decades, including residential expansion, commercial growth, industrial development, and the emergence of informal settlements. This study analyzes functional land-use changes in An-Najaf City and predicts future transformation using a Markov chain model. Land-use data for 2005, 2015, and 2025 were obtained from official records, geographic information system (GIS)-based land-use maps, recent satellite imagery, and field verification. Transition probability matrices were constructed for the 2005–2015 and 2015–2025 periods, and the 2015–2025 matrix was used to predict the functional land-use distribution for 2035. The results show that residential and commercial land uses increased substantially from 2005 to 2025, with commercial land recording the largest increase, from 200.30 ha to 2,204.30 ha. Informal settlements were also identified as an important factor affecting urban functional change. Based on the Markov prediction, residential land is projected to increase to approximately 5,204.7 ha by 2035, slum areas to 482.3 ha, and industrial land to 876.4 ha. By contrast, commercial land is projected to decline to approximately 1,816.1 ha, while the “Others” category is expected to decrease to 204.5 ha. Since the prediction is applied within the defined 2025 study boundary, the total land area remains constant, and the results represent internal functional transformation rather than further physical urban expansion. The findings highlight the need for planning policies that control informal settlement growth, manage residential and industrial expansion, protect supporting urban functions, and promote balanced urban development in An-Najaf City.

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Against the backdrop of increasingly severe regional environmental pollution and the nationwide promotion of environmental governance, the digital economy has become an important factor associated with regional environmental pollution and green sustainable development. However, the impact of the digital economy on regional environmental pollution presents complex and non-linear characteristics, and traditional net-effect regression analysis cannot identify multiple pathways formed by the synergistic combination of various digital factors. This study aims to identify multiple configurational patterns through which digital economy conditions are associated with high or low levels of regional comprehensive environmental pollution, so as to provide a theoretical basis and practical reference for differentiated regional environmental governance. Taking 30 provincial-level regions in China from 2022 to 2024 as research samples, this paper constructs an analytical framework covering digital infrastructure, digital industry development, and digital innovation input, and adopts a multi-period configurational analysis based on fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to explore the configurational paths linking digital economy conditions to regional comprehensive environmental pollution. The results identify five paths leading to high regional comprehensive environmental pollution and two paths leading to low regional comprehensive environmental pollution in the pooled analysis. The annual analyses identify six configurations in 2022 and three configurations in both 2023 and 2024, revealing both continuity and changes in the configurational pathways over time. A low level of broadband access is frequently present in high-pollution configurations, while combinations involving e-commerce activity, innovation expenditure, and research and development (R&D) personnel recur across the three years. These findings indicate that digital development does not inherently produce pollution-abatement effects; rather, its environmental implications are jointly determined by the presence and absence of multiple conditions. The research shows that the relationship between the digital economy and regional comprehensive environmental pollution exhibits clear equifinality, causal asymmetry, and configurational complexity, which means that regions should formulate differentiated digital-development and environmental-governance strategies according to their specific development conditions. This paper provides a new configurational perspective for understanding the complex environmental implications of the digital economy and supplies empirical evidence for optimizing regional digital economy policies and environmental governance practices.

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Many smart city initiatives present technological sophistication as synonymous with urban resilience. This paper challenges that assumption by introducing the concept of the “Digital Mirage”, a condition in which the appearance of smart infrastructure conceals structural dependency on external vendors and foreign-hosted data architectures. The paper proposes a transferable theoretical framework, the Sovereign Oasis model, for Infrastructure Sovereignty in geopolitically isolated exclaves, using the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, Azerbaijan, as the primary illustrative application context. A Most Dissimilar Systems Design (MDSD) comparative analysis across three cases, Aghali Smart Village as a greenfield reference case, Tallinn, Estonia, as a digital sovereignty benchmark, and Nakhchivan City as a legacy retrofit context, is combined with a process-tracing illustration of the smart grid dependency chain. Drawing on theories of high-modernist planning, polycentric governance, and the political nature of technological artefacts, the paper proposes a three-pillar resilience architecture: a Sovereign Tech Stack maintained through distributed community governance; an Edge Computing model ensuring Graceful Degradation upon link severance; and a Participatory Infrastructure Auditing mechanism grounded in local knowledge. Mean Time to Recovery (MTTR) is proposed as the primary metric for future empirical testing. The Sovereign Oasis model is offered as a design template for exclaves and comparably isolated urban contexts where digital infrastructure dependency constitutes a strategic vulnerability.

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As globalization deepens and the digital economy advances, Shandong Province, one of China’s major economic regions, is undergoing shifts in its population structure alongside changes in its economic growth drivers. Exploring the impacts of education support, technological progress, and population aging on regional economic development is of great significance for formulating scientific regional economic policies. Based on macro-level data for Shandong Province from 2004 to 2022, this study constructs a double-logarithmic regression model. The ordinary least squares (OLS) method is used to estimate the model parameters, and stepwise regression is applied to address the multicollinearity problem. The empirical results show that fiscal education expenditure is significantly and positively associated with regional gross domestic product (GDP), suggesting that education support may play an important role in promoting regional economic development. Population aging also shows a significant positive association with regional economic development in the corrected model, indicating that the silver economy and the continued utilization of older adults’ human capital may provide new development opportunities. However, the direct effect of technological progress, measured by technology market turnover, is not fully verified in the current model. The findings suggest that Shandong Province should continue to prioritize education development, improve elderly-care industries and flexible retirement mechanisms, and transform demographic challenges into potential drivers of regional development.

Open Access
Research article
Developing a Road Exposure Index for Herder–Farmer Conflicts in Nigeria’s Nomadic Pastoral Corridors
winner opemipo abiodun ,
sodiq olusegun buhari ,
ayodele adekunle faiyetole
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Available online: 03-25-2026

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This study evaluates the spatial exposure of road infrastructure and road users to nomadic herder–farmer conflicts (HFCs) in Nigeria, focusing on four critical nomadic pastoral corridors (NPCs): Kaduna–Plateau (North West–North Central, NW–NC), Taraba–Benue (North East–North Central, NE–NC), Nasarawa–Benue (North Central–North Central, NC–NC), and Benue–Enugu (North Central–South East, NC–SE). Using geospatial data, the study develops a Road Exposure Index (REI) by integrating road density, population density, and conflict density across local government areas within these NPCs. Kernel density estimation (KDE) was applied in ArcGIS to visualize the spatial distribution of REI values and identify areas of heightened exposure during HFC-affected years. The results reveal substantial variations in REI across the corridors, with tertiary roads in the Benue–Enugu (NC–SE) and Nasarawa–Benue (NC–NC) corridors showing particularly high levels of exposure. These areas are important because they include major food-producing zones, suggesting that HFC-related road exposure may have implications for food accessibility and rural–urban market connectivity. The findings highlight the need for targeted intelligent transport system (ITS) infrastructure and security interventions to improve road monitoring, enhance transport resilience, and reduce mobility risks in conflict-affected corridors in Nigeria.

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